D.C., NOV 3 (RTSG) – Former president Donald Trump and current Vice President Kamala Harris are currently the two parties’ nominations for this year’s election, and with the election date so close, many in the country are asking who has the better shot at the White House.
This year’s election cycle is particularly close. Multiple swing states are as of yet uncalled for either side, and current polling shows each candidate’s margins to be razor thin.
Harris’ recent upswing in approval has been in large part due to extensive Democratic funding from left-leaning Super PACS like ActBlue, which have spent millions on repairing Kamala Harris’ image which had been tarnished during the entirety of the Biden presidency due in large part to her inability to delineate herself from the Biden administration, which saw historical disapproval rates from voters.
Meanwhile, Trump has managed to crush his competitors in the Republican party with relative ease, dismantling the Kennedy campaign in March of this year and adding their voters to his own base. He has steadily grown his popularity in pre-election polls, and is now neck-and-neck with Harris, with 46.9% to Trump and 47.9 to Harris respectively.
In important battleground states, like Nevada, Harris and Trump are within just a few decimal points of each other. One million early votes are indicating a strong Republican lead over their Democratic counterparts in the state, and may be indicative of a larger pro-Republican turnout.
In Pennsylvania, which some analysts say is the most important battleground state, Harris has lost her lead as of November 1st with Trump eking out a 1% advantage over her. In Michigan and Wisconsin, however, the polls show a slightly different story, with Harris leading in both states with 0.6% and 0.8% respectively. All three of these states are generally grouped together as the ‘Rust Belt’ states, and are all important battlegrounds for the Presidential election. In almost every election, however, the three states vote together as one, an unbroken historical trend that Trump is unlikely to overturn.
Regardless of the outcome of the election, both candidates have pledged support to Israel, which is currently conducting a genocide in the Gaza strip. Consequently, those actively engaged in the war for survival against Israel will not feel any differences between the two candidates.
In regards to one war which the US is actively involved in, the Ukraine War, former president Donald Trump has declared that if were to be elected, he would negotiate a deal before even taking office. The likelihood of this happening will be heavily determined by his administration’s outlook.
Conversely, Russia’s Vladimir Putin has welcomed the possiblity of a Harris presidency. Putin went on record to say that “She laughs so expressively and infectiously that it means that everything is fine with her.” Putin was likely expressing sarcasm in this statement, but it goes to show how little Russia cares about the election. North Korean representatives have expressed similar views as well.
At RTSG, we currently believe the race is a toss-up. A slight edge may be given to Donald Trump for his advantage in the historically significant state of Pennsylvania, but nothing is certain. We will have to wait until November 5, or possibly later, to know who will be the leader of the United States for the next four years.
Written by Seraph, Editor-in-Chief of RTSG News